YHE NUMBERS GAME ; But the American people didn't see that inevitability. They defied conventional wisdom. President Obama won easily. The democrats expanded their lead in the senate and cut the margin of lead for the republicans in the house. And this was before the economy began to turn, before gun control became a toxic issue for the republicans, before they lost the immigration debate. This brings us to 2014.
Another midterm election where the republicans will be considered odds on favorites to win seats, 2014 will also be the year of the penultimate conflagration of the tea party right and royalist republicans. The midterms will be fought in the midst of this battleground and will become a tremendously divisive topic for candidates who will have to align with one side or the other.
This leaves the democrats with an unprecedented opportunity in 2014. While the republican party continues their path toward fratricide, the democratic party will have the advantage of being focused and on the right side of issues. They will also have two other things going for them that is rare for democrats. There will be a well organized ground game and there will be a significant amount of external funding coming into these midyear elections from influential and well-funded groups on gun control, immigration reform, electoral fairness, etc. All of a sudden, the playing field may be equalized.
Add that to the 35 seats that are currently held by republicans in swing districts and the 30 seats that are held by republicans in seats that only lean slightly toward the republican party. Of those 65 districts, over 40 voted for President Obama in 2012. These seats are truly in jeopardy if approached correctly.
Where are the seats? They are not blue dog seats in the impenetrable south. Most are suburban seats for whom gun safety, violence, education, and other democratic issues are in the fore. Where are they.......In winnable states........Here are 37 of those seats:
YHE NUMBERS GAME ; But the American people didn't see that inevitability. They defied conventional wisdom. President Obama won easily. The democrats expanded their lead in the senate and cut the margin of lead for the republicans in the house. And this was before the economy began to turn, before gun control became a toxic issue for the republicans, before they lost the immigration debate. This brings us to 2014.
ReplyDeleteAnother midterm election where the republicans will be considered odds on favorites to win seats, 2014 will also be the year of the penultimate conflagration of the tea party right and royalist republicans. The midterms will be fought in the midst of this battleground and will become a tremendously divisive topic for candidates who will have to align with one side or the other.
This leaves the democrats with an unprecedented opportunity in 2014. While the republican party continues their path toward fratricide, the democratic party will have the advantage of being focused and on the right side of issues. They will also have two other things going for them that is rare for democrats. There will be a well organized ground game and there will be a significant amount of external funding coming into these midyear elections from influential and well-funded groups on gun control, immigration reform, electoral fairness, etc. All of a sudden, the playing field may be equalized.
Add that to the 35 seats that are currently held by republicans in swing districts and the 30 seats that are held by republicans in seats that only lean slightly toward the republican party. Of those 65 districts, over 40 voted for President Obama in 2012. These seats are truly in jeopardy if approached correctly.
Where are the seats? They are not blue dog seats in the impenetrable south. Most are suburban seats for whom gun safety, violence, education, and other democratic issues are in the fore. Where are they.......In winnable states........Here are 37 of those seats: